Sign onto Twitter X or Threads or Facebook or your favorite social media site this morning and the political conversation you will find goes like this:
DON’T BELIEVE THE POLLS. VOTES ARE ALL THAT MATTER.
This tweet is indicative of the general sentiment:
The message is (seemingly) simple: Tuesday was a(nother) good day for Democrats at the ballot box. Which means that all the doom and gloom in the run-up to the vote was misguided. That polling doesn’t capture the reality on the ground. That Democrats are in much better shape than all of these pundits and their “polls” suggest.
Which, I get! The media (and our polls) are an easy scapegoat. It’s the rare bipartisan belief in politics; both parties think the media is unfair to them and purposely pushes unfair narratives — largely through polling and data.
But, here’s the thing: Attacking polls for being wrong is, well, wrong. Because the polling in the most high-profile races on the ballot on Tuesday was decidedly accurate.
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