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But that’s not journalism.
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We are one day into the alleged ceasefire between the United States/Israel and Iran. It’s not clear — at least to me — if the ceasefire will hold or even what the terms of the ceasefire actually are.
What’s far more clear is that Donald Trump’s preemptive war against Iran has been an utter political catastrophe for Republicans, who already were in rough shape heading into the 2026 midterm election.
First off, the war itself is deeply unpopular. Check out the numbers in this Pew poll from late last month:
Strong disapproval is two-and-a-half times higher than strong approval. And you know who votes in midterms? Voters who feel strongly.
Second, the lived impact of the war for most Americans is soaring gas prices, which have added to the general sense that Trump has not done what he promised to do in 2024 on “fixing” the economy and bringing down prices of everyday goods. (Click map to enlarge.)
My friend Matt Lewis and I talked about the political damage done — no matter what happens in the next two weeks (or the next two months) — by Trump’s decision to start a war with Iran.
We also broke down the results of elections in Georgia and Wisconsin on Tuesday — and debated the dangers for Democrats of a very good 2026 election.
