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It’s my favorite day of the year: The day when Decision Desk HQ unveils their House and Senate election forecasts!
Here are the toplines:
Democrats have a 61% chance of retaking the House majority
Republicans have a 57% chance of holding the Senate majority
And yet, the most likely outcome of the election, according to the DDHQ forecast, is that either Republicans or Democrats wind up with total control of the House and Senate.
My friend Geoffrey Skelley — the chief elections analyst at Decision Desk HQ — and I spent the better part of an hour walking through the DDHQ forecasts for House and Senate on a Substack Live Wednesday.
It was a terrific conversation — and I am going to do everything I can to make this a regular feature of “So What” going into the fall!
You can also check out the forecast — for Senate and House control as well as individual Senate races — at the AMAZING DDHQ Votes dashboard. And if you don’t follow Geoffrey Skelley’s DDHQ Substack, fix that glitch immediately.
