sad to think the country is headed down the crapper...Ireland looks better everyday.....as Carlin observed...take the average american and realize how dumb half the population is....this country is devolving into an oligarchy
I do not think that VP Harris is actually losing ground. I think that these poll aggregators are including GOP polls of dubious validity within their averages, these actions are intended to demoralize Democratic voters and grassroots workers. Do not fall for it!
No mention Chris of the excellent ground game in the battleground states for the Democrats! I have been visited twice by Harris campaign folks at my home in AZ. I told the second visitor to stop coming to talk with me because I was 100% voting for VP Harris! Received a flyer in the mail today from Traitor Trump and promptly deposited in the recycling box! The experts I respect state that a great ground game is worth 3 points on Election Day! Traitor Trump has designated his ground game to NAZI Elon whose company X has lost 80% of its value under his “leadership”! VOTING ALL BLUE!!!
At this point journalists need to abandon polling articles on polls which fail to get out of the margin of error. They mean nothing. I also don’t believe in the veracity of polling organizations. They have all been weaponized at this point. Harris $billion funding raise and Republicans fleeing to Harris are a better clue as to how the candidates are doing IMO. Sorry to spoil your fun. And always remember the red wave. lol It’s a benchmark in world of incorrect speculation and the use of bad data.
This polling is complete rubbish. It doesn’t capture young voters who don’t answer their phones and seems oblivious to the reality that few women outside the MAGAverse are going to vote for Trump. The Red Wave that never was ought to be a cautionary tale.
I won't say Harris can't raise money, but she isn't exceptionally charismatic or engaging. The amount raised in such a short period is more a result of relief and excitement from people that someone, at least somewhat competent, now has a decent chance of ensuring Riffin' Don goes nowhere near DC ever again....
I appreciate you keeping track of the polls, Chris, but I'd also love if you start taking a page from what Chuck Todd said and look at early voting numbers.
My hope is it's not 2016. They know what they need to do to win the Blue Wall and get over the finish line
“The Blue Wall is Cracking” article is a complete waste of time for the Author and the Reader.
It doesn’t matter what all these Polls ‘say’. The only thing that matters is the Vote Count(s).
The race probably is a coin toss, so I think I’ll just wait and see which side is up (heads, smart people actually care and showed up to vote or tails, the butthead imbeciles doomed Democracy.
This hand wringing about every poll is a total waste of time. The polls are for the campaigns to use to make decisions. The media uses them to write articles simply to manufacture anxiety, like this one. Sirens in the headline? Come on.
Why did no one mention the Arab vote in Michigan? As the wars go on in Gaza and Lebanon, Harris will lose more of the Arab vote and the young vote including Jews who want to make it absolutely clear that they are opposed to genocide and utter destruction. Harris had better move from assuring Netanyahu in private and from feigning sympathy for the Gazans in public. We are not fools, and she does not fool us.
Chris the problem that I have with many to these poll aggregator web-sites and prognosticators, is that the Republicans for several election cycles now have learned to "game the averages" by dumping lots of polls paid for by Republican operatives in order to swing the averages their way. The purpose of these poll dumps? 1) It is done to feed the national political media who still love to report the "horse race" like they did before the on-set of the massive mendacity of Trump and his supporters and 2) to demoralize the democrats with the end goal of keeping democratic voters' home (we're doomed) and to demoralized democrats who work in the grassroots. Frankly, I am getting rather tired of the reporting that does NOT take into account these subversive actions.
Non partisan indeed. These MAGA members like to highlight polls that help their narrative and viewpoint. I will advise people to ignore these polls and read Nate Silver's ananalysis of just this one Quinnipiac polls. I know Chris is obsessing about it because well....
The Models are more scientific and more reliable than these polls people.
And yes Harris has raised more money than Trump and She is going to beat Trump in November just as Biden raised more money than Trump and ended up beating him in 2020. I noticed that you failed to mention that and only mentioned Clinton's loss to Trump inspite of raising more money than him
So..Kamala is losing ground to an increasingly unhinged lunatic who is-
A. - in bed with our arch-enemy, Putin.
B.- lying, constantly, about FEMA, etc., in ways that are damaging to his own MAGA followers.
C.- is guilty of treason. (He tried to overthrow our government and also stole top secret documents.)
D.-is morally bankrupt, racist, xenophobic, and un-american.
E.- is dumb as a box of rocks.
Gawd help the USA.
sad to think the country is headed down the crapper...Ireland looks better everyday.....as Carlin observed...take the average american and realize how dumb half the population is....this country is devolving into an oligarchy
🇮🇪! See ya….
I do not think that VP Harris is actually losing ground. I think that these poll aggregators are including GOP polls of dubious validity within their averages, these actions are intended to demoralize Democratic voters and grassroots workers. Do not fall for it!
F - # 47
I agree...F DonOld and his mindless supporters
No mention Chris of the excellent ground game in the battleground states for the Democrats! I have been visited twice by Harris campaign folks at my home in AZ. I told the second visitor to stop coming to talk with me because I was 100% voting for VP Harris! Received a flyer in the mail today from Traitor Trump and promptly deposited in the recycling box! The experts I respect state that a great ground game is worth 3 points on Election Day! Traitor Trump has designated his ground game to NAZI Elon whose company X has lost 80% of its value under his “leadership”! VOTING ALL BLUE!!!
At this point journalists need to abandon polling articles on polls which fail to get out of the margin of error. They mean nothing. I also don’t believe in the veracity of polling organizations. They have all been weaponized at this point. Harris $billion funding raise and Republicans fleeing to Harris are a better clue as to how the candidates are doing IMO. Sorry to spoil your fun. And always remember the red wave. lol It’s a benchmark in world of incorrect speculation and the use of bad data.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/
The Quinnipiac MI poll had Trump leading Harris among young voters which seems unlikely, so we'll see.
It’s true, Michigan resident, Trump signs EVERYWHERE
Did Trump win the 2020 election?
I’m living in 2024!
Get ur popcorn ready to pop!
It’s gonna be a day!!!!
Dutch really isn’t worth being honest.
Exactly.
Additional lol
https://open.substack.com/pub/thebulwark/p/exclusive-poll-finds-large-chunk?r=1tj9xp&utm_medium=ios
Bottom line the election is going to be close. Nothing is going to change that. Will be a nail biter the night of November 5
This polling is complete rubbish. It doesn’t capture young voters who don’t answer their phones and seems oblivious to the reality that few women outside the MAGAverse are going to vote for Trump. The Red Wave that never was ought to be a cautionary tale.
I never answer a call on my cell phone unless I recognize the name or number! I am 71.
I don’t either. I know few people who do, and not just on the east coast and the west coast. I’d love to know who is answering their calls.
I won't say Harris can't raise money, but she isn't exceptionally charismatic or engaging. The amount raised in such a short period is more a result of relief and excitement from people that someone, at least somewhat competent, now has a decent chance of ensuring Riffin' Don goes nowhere near DC ever again....
How bout plain old boring!
Kamala’s powerful debate victory over the convicted felon was *anything* but boring!! 🎇🔥
Not any more fucking boring than you ….
Hey Leo, that’s rude! You don’t even know me. How bout an anger management class? It may help you, I hope
Help me with what ? I wasn’t angry, just calling it the way I saw it.
Wait a minute. I thought you told me a couple of days ago to ignore polling averages.
I appreciate you keeping track of the polls, Chris, but I'd also love if you start taking a page from what Chuck Todd said and look at early voting numbers.
My hope is it's not 2016. They know what they need to do to win the Blue Wall and get over the finish line
“The Blue Wall is Cracking” article is a complete waste of time for the Author and the Reader.
It doesn’t matter what all these Polls ‘say’. The only thing that matters is the Vote Count(s).
The race probably is a coin toss, so I think I’ll just wait and see which side is up (heads, smart people actually care and showed up to vote or tails, the butthead imbeciles doomed Democracy.
This hand wringing about every poll is a total waste of time. The polls are for the campaigns to use to make decisions. The media uses them to write articles simply to manufacture anxiety, like this one. Sirens in the headline? Come on.
This entire thread is a microcosm of America. Views on poll sides.
Ignore the voter suppression tactics and VOTE.
Also, what a waste of one billion dollars!
People, if you have that kind of money, give it to charity. Feed the hungry, clothe the poor, house the homeless, etc.
Why did no one mention the Arab vote in Michigan? As the wars go on in Gaza and Lebanon, Harris will lose more of the Arab vote and the young vote including Jews who want to make it absolutely clear that they are opposed to genocide and utter destruction. Harris had better move from assuring Netanyahu in private and from feigning sympathy for the Gazans in public. We are not fools, and she does not fool us.
Do you think things would be better in the Middle East with Trump as president??
You supposed impartiality will hurt democracy in the final analysis. But you will get your clicks.
You know the election isn’t determined by random substack posts, right?
Chris the problem that I have with many to these poll aggregator web-sites and prognosticators, is that the Republicans for several election cycles now have learned to "game the averages" by dumping lots of polls paid for by Republican operatives in order to swing the averages their way. The purpose of these poll dumps? 1) It is done to feed the national political media who still love to report the "horse race" like they did before the on-set of the massive mendacity of Trump and his supporters and 2) to demoralize the democrats with the end goal of keeping democratic voters' home (we're doomed) and to demoralized democrats who work in the grassroots. Frankly, I am getting rather tired of the reporting that does NOT take into account these subversive actions.
Non partisan indeed. These MAGA members like to highlight polls that help their narrative and viewpoint. I will advise people to ignore these polls and read Nate Silver's ananalysis of just this one Quinnipiac polls. I know Chris is obsessing about it because well....
The Models are more scientific and more reliable than these polls people.
And yes Harris has raised more money than Trump and She is going to beat Trump in November just as Biden raised more money than Trump and ended up beating him in 2020. I noticed that you failed to mention that and only mentioned Clinton's loss to Trump inspite of raising more money than him