12 Comments

Seems to me the most accurate GENERAL ELECTION poll Biden/Trump is that 54% of ALL voters think the Colorado ruling denying him candidacy is correct. How does this square with the humbling dump of endless polls that show Biden trailing Trump?

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founding

I agree with you FredErick and they ignore the polls that shows Biden is doing well, like the Rasmussen polls and the NYT polls that shows Biden beating Trump among likely voters. Those polls are also not do not align with the off year elections that have taken place so far. Biden is going to win in 2024 whether they like it or not

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author

Who is "they"?

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founding

The ''they'' refers to all those who don't want Biden to win in 2024(And they have the right to not want Biden to win)

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As a fan of horse racing, I love that Secretariat video.

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Chris, good writing as usual. This is an interesting debate. However, in the case of the Republican Primary it is neither a "horse race" nor a "policy/issues" contest. Call me cynical but in my opinion, the fix has been in from day one. No one in this supposed contest gets up in the morning thinking they will win except DJT who is the one they all support one way or the other. There is no way in h*** they were going or will pick any other candidate but DJT.

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Agree with you, Chris. IMO, this is certainly not a horse race and do not foresee it to be. If something should change, coverage changes with it. The GOP primary never even got off the starting gate as any type of horse race.

Any thoughts on Giuliani claiming bankruptcy? Hmm, didn’t see that coming 😂

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Dec 21, 2023·edited Dec 21, 2023

Absolutely true. And yes, Trump,will run away with the nomination. Pretending otherwise is just silly. Those other “candidates “ don’t have a chance, and they are running as though they know it.

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founding

I couldn't agree more with Professor Rosen. The stakes are more consequential to the Country and the World than the odds of who is going to win. Concentrating on the odds is not going to help anyone as there will always be some biases inherently built into all these odds and polls and predictions

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I am most interested not in who wins the Iowa caucus but rather the turnout. I want that data now.

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I want that data to gauge apathy.

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The challenge here is the Republican primary is not a race, so why cover it like a race? It is like Trump is running the Belmont Stakes, and all of the challengers are racing at Scioto Downs outside of Columbus, Ohio (a trotter track - pun intended). Recent example - when the Colorado Supreme Court ruled Trump ineligible - not one of the “challengers” did anything but defend Trump! If they were racing Trump, they should have been defending the rule of law, and agreeing with the decision. Even Christie (the former prosecutor) said the court should not decide - the voters should decide.

Covering this primary like a horse race is wrong until, and only if, the Republican voters surprise us and put any of the challengers into the same race track as Trump.

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