138 Comments

Gosh, could you give those of us who are excited about this turn of events even 24 hours to BE excited before you start with all the negatives? The little "maybe she has learned something in four years" doesn't cancel what is essentially a hit piece.

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This isn't a hit piece. It's providing context, showing both her strengths and weakeness in the 2020 campaign. I think she's much more comfortable on the national stage today, with a winning issue on reproductive freedom (indeed, freedom in general).

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It is the title that is most annoying.

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Agreed. Chris is resorting to the mainstream media’s typical use of salacious headlines to drive clickthroughs and I find it disappointing at the heart.

He could have achieved a similar result, and closer to the truth, if he’d titled it “Is Kamala Harris The Best Candidate?”

And as a Californian, I’ve watched her for *years* and am *well* aware of both her strengths and weaknesses, and I would have to question whether Chris followed California politics enough to actually KNOW what her positives are, as he sure as hell didn’t have much to say on the positive side. I agree with Rebecca that it read more as a hit piece to me, only really talking about her up-until-now poor performance on the national stage.

Seasoned prosecutor vs convicted felon. That’s the way this race should be framed, ‘cause it’s true and it’s strong.

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She has grown so much in these last 4 years. I believe she will be a great! Candidate.

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Chris is always like this. Dislike him so much.

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Then why are you here?

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How about some reporting on JDVance project 2025 and why this election is a referendum on the rapist traitor insurrectionists liar business failure. It doesn’t matter who the Democratic candidate is. Our lives depend on stopping the GOP.

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A hit piece? This is merely a rehash of a past campaign that provides context for those who are sizing up her chances. Chris is not Kamala's campaign chair, nor is he a Dem cheerleader. If you are looking for a partisan echo chamber, this is not it, so keep looking.

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founding

Are you sure this is not a partisan Newsletter?

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Certainly not. You cannot seriously be suggesting Chris is pro-Trump.

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Chris has simply provided a history of the train wreck of a campaign from 4 years ago. To be blunt about it, Harris has never won a single vote from a single Dem primary voter and, to be generous, her performance in the do nothing job of being VP has been “spotty”, noteworthy more for staff unrest and turnover than anything else.

And now she’s the anointed one via a conspiracy of elites?

I’d call that an existential threat to democracy….

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Sooo As a outsider( voter) get over it and if you want Trump in keep up with the picking apart of the person Joe Biden immediately put out there to continue our country in the right direction. She is strong willed and that is a fact, she speaks as most strong women do. Straight talk yet professionalism at its best. We NEED her and our kids and families need her. We can’t afford to get a MAGA presidency with Heritage Foundation,HillsdaleCollege,Liberty University, The Federalist Society,Leo and friend, Justice Thomas and Alito running our country into the ground. Separation of church and state has already been pushed out of Floridas education system by Desantis and the Governor’s like Abbott will go full on white nationalists sooo it is Kamala Harris for President to give us a chance to right the ship. And ofcourse the freedom of speech and your opinions are heeded but not necessarily good for us to get us through the horrid election process.

If people actually would read more then a title it would be a start but the people can’t concentrate anymore it seems.

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So you are happy with someone who has never won a single presidential primary vote to be magically anointed as the Democratic nominee rather than other, almost certainly more qualified, candidates being contemplated via at least some the facsimile of a legitimate selection process?

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FLASH: #DEMs lose TWO (2) "Keys To The White House" as a result of #Joe being forced out under the threat of the 25th Amendment ... 1.) The #IPCK = "Intra-party Contest Key" and, 2.) the "Incumbency Key".

The updated score is now:

#MAGAt(s) = Six (6) Keys versus #DEMs = Seven (7) Keys.

Analysis: #Trump is now One (1) "Key" away from securing a 2nd Term as President of The United States with a 100-days left till the Election. C=> https://www.youtube.com/live/BxvUPI1Bph4 #Holy-Sh't! #Nothing-Is-Easy

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You might want to watch that clip again, Robert. That's not what he said.

In any case, I don't think this election is analogous to any other and therefore the 7 keys formula doesn't really apply here.

Mr. Lichtman's advice that Mr. Biden should have resigned the presidency in order to maintain some abstract "key" illustrates the limitations of an analyst whose preoccupation is the contest rather than the country. Does he think we don't really need a president? Or does he think Kamala Harris is such a genius that she can just slip into performing the duties of that office while mounting an intense election campaign?

Here's my prediction: After the convention, Allan Lichtman will declare Kamala Harris the presumptive victor in November.

.

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Don't try to read too much into any One (1) of the Thirteen Keys (13). They are ALL unweighted, subjective/objective measures that have been back-tested all the way back to 1860. The "doc" and his formulae even picked #Trump in 2016. You discount the "Keys" at your own peril. As a member of the independent middle of the electorate, I refuse to buy into #Big-Media's "hype."

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It's not Chris' job to blow hopiup up anybody's rear. It's his job to analyze the race. Chris famously listed Harris the most likely to win the nomination for a while, so he clearly believed she had the possibility only to watch her drive right into the ditch. He's an analyst, so I'm happy he's doing his job.

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Donald Trump is a fascist. He is a sinister and violent man who attacked his country, divided her people, and raped E. Jean Carroll. His messianic lunacy, claims of God’s anointment, incoherent blustering, threats and insanity make his disorders clear. He is a most dangerous man. Kamala is gonna deliver a lot of pain and hurt.

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With all due respect, everyone knows this already. For Trump’s followers, all of these are the reasons why they support him. For Democrats, these are the reasons to relentlessly oppose him. Independent voters and persuadable Republicans need a reason to vote FOR Kamala, other than “she’s not Trump”.

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However she will be able to make the argument that he's an elderly guy in serious cognitive decline, rather than having to defend against such charges.

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Trump’s just another old white guy with all do respect. There’s only reason to vote blue TRUMP.

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That’s not gonna cut it with independents and persuadable Republicans. You can’t just insert a bunch of blue hearts 💙💙💙💙💙💙💙💙 and expect to win swing states.

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“Whomever the election is about will lose the election. The Republican smear machine will attack Kamala Harris full on. They will try to make this race about her, but she must prosecute the case against Donald Trump, for he is the only issue in this race, a man of violence, chaos, and malice and incompetence.”

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I don’t know… about 20% of Republican primary voters chose Haley, another strong woman. Some of them will vote for Harris.

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What’s your point of view??

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I would hope that Kamala would have a fully professional staff as the nominee, rather than one of many candidates vying for the nomination.

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Is she going to be just using Biden's staff, because they left a lot to be desired.

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Totally agree at the top level. Hopefully she will have access to top notch operatives at the state and local levels.

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She should have David Plouffe….

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Omg 🥱

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She does!

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Nope. You're not gonna crush my enthusiasm of the last 24 hours. Not gonna happen!

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How about for now, until most of us get a better close up of her, you just STFU. You remind me of a

phrase used by VP Agnew (I’m not a fan) when he said that a lot of younze are “nattering nabobs of

negativism”. Give her a GD breath please and just

report for a few days.

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Dude … TOTALLY INAPPROPRIATE

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True though. Cilliza is a right wing lackie. sick of them.

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I think that this is supposed to be ironic but I’m not catching the joke

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Exactly.

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Geez, stop being such an effete liberal!

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Hi Chris,

I have no idea what's going to transpire over the next four months, nor do I have any idea who will wake up on Wednesday, November 6th as the President-Elect.

But today, for the first time in a long time, I have a feeling of optimism; that we'll be having a truly competitive race.

In the short-term, does the Heritage Foundation and/or the Republican Party have any legitimate grounds to legally object to Harris replacing Biden as the nominee? Or is this all posturing and press-releases, since nothing will be "official" until after the Democratic Convention in August?

Thanks.

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There is no valid legal basis for an attack on Harris being the nominee of the party. That’s a scare tactic that was used by the die-hard Biden folks and now the right. There is no candidate until the convention delegates vote. Primaries select delegates, but nothing is official until those delegates vote at the convention. Candidates who have delegates pledged to them can release them. This often happens to create unity. HRC released her delegates for Obama, for example. Biden will release his , and I expect Harris to be a unanimous selection

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Absolutely not, in spite of the nonsense the MAGAts are spouting. Today there is NO "Democratic nominee." Whomever the delegates select -- it will be Kamala Harris -- will be on the ballots.

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Thanks. I'm not a lawyer (nor do I play one on TV), which is why I was seeking clarification on this. Unfortunately, this type of case was never one that came up in all of the Perry Mason and Law & Order reruns I've watched. ;--)

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I heard on the radio this morning that 1) the delegates can actually vote for who they want, who the people who elected them want, although they usually vote based on the primary (moot in this case) and 2) the deadline for the general election ballot, at least in Arizona, is August 30.

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There are a lot of red flags with Harris. People talk about how she's this excellent debater who is going to savage Trump but:

The bussing moment? She immediately started selling shirts, which made the whole thing look manufactured, and then she couldn't articulate her own position on bussing and what she found so objectionable about Biden. She just put Biden in a difficult position where he couldn't really respond to her.

She got savaged by Tulsi Gabbard of all people at another debate.

As Chris said, she was never able to explain what her health care plan. She raised her hand saying she supported Medicare for All, then claimed she didn't understand the question and then never got out of her own way.

Her debate performance with Pence was flat, when they should've gone with the knockout blow.

Her vice presidency has been filled with a high turnover rate. Her staff and campaigns leak like crazy.

There's a reason Biden was so hesitant to step aside.

Harris has failed upward her entire career. She's the political Lane Kiffin.

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#ASU's former football coach ...

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Nobody cares about this stuff. This was four years ago. In today’s news cycle, that was like, four centuries ago. Do you really think voters are going to care about the bussing moment? Biden shielded her from the public for four years which actually works to her benefit. She’s going to get a clean slate. And in comparison with Biden, the fact that she can formulate full sentences without us worrying that she might freeze up is going to be a huge relief to voters. I didn’t really like Harris in the primary, but I frickin’ love her now. Harris 2024 🎉.

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If she runs her campaign as poorly as she did 2020, people will care about it when she loses.

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I doubt she’s going to run her campaign poorly when she’s got the entire DNC behind her. People come back from early political mistakes. She has a lot of strengths and more experience now. Her prosecutorial background is going to be seen as a political boon now and not a political liability. She also relied heavily on CA political operatives for her 2020 campaign, and they weren’t well equipped for a national run.

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Well said. But at the end of the day, she has a good chance of beating Trump, and she’s gonna be the nominee - if not, all hell will break loose. We don’t have to love Kamala - we just need to vote for her. And give independents and persuadable Republicans a REASON to go for her, other than she’s not Trump.

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Your leader is a felon a fraud and a con. Why don’t you talk about that. Oh yeah you don’t want to.

#dementiadon don’t want to talk about that either 🤡🎯👈🏻

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I'm not a MAGA. You can have reservations about Kamala Harris without being a Trump supporter.

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Whatever! you a maga. Go away.

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Sorry … you haven’t included her Ag, Prosecutor, Senator,VP jobs.

And that Joe Biden picked her is 💯 percent why I will back her. The other talk is just to try to get people to not support her and if you don’t think she is your person vote for Trump..

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As an aside, is anyone else getting a little tired of hearing how courageous and selfless Biden was for DOING THE RIGHT THING? I’m delighted that he did it. But it hardly qualifies for “Profiles in Courage” when someone overcomes their ego and ultimately avoided the personal humiliation of losing to Trump.

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No I am more then happy to repeat that Biden took the road of patriotism and let go of a plan he was 100 percent behind and wanted to continue. He chose to put country first!! As you can ofcourse have your opinion.

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Exactly. These maga talking men are just tiring. Complain complain complain.

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Whatever

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Chris, I know stating all sides is part of your professional integrity. But dredging up 2020 is not the way to do it. A risk assessment of Kamala’s candidacy is relevant but must be done in the present. My perception is that this last year has put her in a new light. She has been campaigning for Joe but her views and deep commitment to women’s reproductive rights and voting rights have become very clear. We don’t need an in the weeds analysis of her past right now. We need to close ranks and make sure, as much as we can on an individual level to elect Kamala and her running mate WIN. As an aside, I want to see a First Gentleman in the White House. I am sure he would do a better job than Melania, especially on the Christmas trees.

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Do you (Americans) want a democracy or a dictatorship? That is the real choice here.

No candidate will ever be perfect, but do you always drag out the negatives? 4 years ago is in the past, look to the future, and make sure Kamala gets the support she needs to pull the rug under Trump’s feet. Beating Trump at the polls is not only for Americans, but also for the world.

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Jul 22·edited Jul 22

Chris, in 2020 the dems were looking for the candidate to beat djt.

Harris, being female, and black, was just seen as not able to win because the nation was not yet ready for a female prez and definatley not a bkack one, and all the money then coalesced around Biden who could possibly beat djt.

First you you claimed being female and black are two BIG features in her favor? Even tho those two features no doubt will lead to unprecedented torrents of racist and misogynist attacks against her 24/7 on social media and in the trump/Vance campaign. Now you pick apart her 2020 campaign without even mentioning that she was running against what, a dozen other well qualified candidates, and the dem urgency to find the one who could absolutely beat djt.

I don't think you really think some of these things thru and are just rushing to make comments just to be making comments, which is not at all helpful. Maybe slow down a little and give us some reasoned thoughtful comments capitalizing on your experience and knowledge and not just shoot out your immediate gut reactions. Thanks.

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Joe Biden told the Supreme Court at his State of the Union about women!!

It is The Year Of The Women !!!!!!!!

Brought to you by taking away our right to keep you out of our exam room!!!!

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I think that VP Harris will be a much better candidate than President Biden. She is articulate, very intelligent and I am eager to see her debate former President Trump. Hopefully, that happens.

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Gee, Chris - wow, sure didn’t long for you to copy the big mainstream media types and dump all over the Democrats. Couldn’t you have a used a bit more of a neutral header - like “what kind of candidate will Harris be?” You blared a negative word, basing it on. 4 years ago. you did put in some good stuff, but it sure got buried under the header and the first several paragraphs.

is this a taste of your coverage to come? Just wondering.

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Chris is a tool.

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JFC Chris!

You could have asked the question, “Is Kamala Harris the best candidate?” Or, “Is Kamala Harris a good candidate?”

To which the answer would probably have been “no,” but let’s not let perfect be the enemy of good. She is certainly better than the alternative (Trump).

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He doesn’t want to talk about the felon the fraud and the con because then he will get bullied.

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Any difference in your reporting , writing , life attitude in last 4 years or are you stuck in the same place and I I don’t mean the job that you were doing. Life long learning should be the goal of all of us. Harris has shown she is a life long learner; she listens, and engages with we the people. It’s time that the media stop focusing on the past and look and speak to the future.

What’s your analysis of Project 2025; Trump the liar, psychopath and felon, or JD Vance who flips whenever it advantages him?

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Oh for fucks sake, Chris. One day, you couldn't even wait one day before tearing her down.

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He's NOT tearing her down. He's giving the pluses and minuses of her 2020 campaign for the nomination. It's context, not criticism.

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And yet the piece is titled "Is Kamala Harris a Bad Candidate'. That is not context, that is framing. And if he wanted to give constructive and informative input, the same points could have been made with different framing. And, my other point, was to let a bit of time pass. I liked the video Chris did this morning - appropriate to the less than 24 hours since Biden's announcement. Not trying to start a fight, just trying to express how it came across to me.

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It's a question, not a conclusion. We've all been a bit hyper these past few weeks and perhaps he could have framed it differently, but I didn't take it as an attack. Indeed, the piece makes clear that he hasn't concluded any such thing.

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It’s a rude question.

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He’s such a tool. Always bullshit opinions.

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He’s such a tool I wish he would disappear off my feed.

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