Hi Chris. I start my day with your Morning video -- thanks for all you do. My question has to do with the reliability of polls. Do they still rely primarily on the telephone for gathering information? If so, how can this produce reliable data since many people do not accept phone calls from unknown phone numbers?
What is your all-time favorite Trump quote? this one may be my favorite: "So we have that so-called area, they consider it like a sacred area. And I will say this, I don't think I am a believer, but I have interviewed pilots that look, I like Tom Cruise, but better than Tom Cruise".
I'm not sure about a quote, but all-time favorite moment has to be the Four Seasons Landscaping press conference. It's just the chef's kiss moment of his administration.
I have a set of related questions. I read an article in "The Hill" which said that 46% of Republicans would not accept the results of the presidential election if Trump lost, and 14% said they would take action in that case. Furthermore, Trump continues to add fuel to the fire of election denialism. So, if Harris/Walz win the electoral vote count, we are back to 2020. What possible “action” would/could the election deniers take, and at what point in the process from Election Day to Inauguration Day? Nationally, are they once again planning on disrupting the electoral vote counting and certification on Jan 6th? Would they somehow try to disrupt the inauguration on Jan 20th? Or would "action" take place at the State level, particularly in swing states that didn’t go for Trump (MN, WS, PA, VA, GA, NV, & AZ)? Is there any means to interfere with transmission of the electoral counts from the state to the Washington D.C., or more fake elector schemes before the formal voting by the electors? If violent protest is their only option, would that occur in Washington, in the contested swing states, or both? Given all the nonsensical rhetoric spewed out by Trump, I will guess that law enforcement will be on a very high alert for such activities from Nov 5th to Jan 20th. And given the arrests and convictions from Jan 6th, 2021, how many people are willing to put themselves out there with violent attacks to protest the 2024 results?
Trump in his prior elections has benefited from voters who normally don’t vote.
With the sharp rise in voter registration after the debate and Swift endorsement, do you think there’s a chance Harris can make inroads into that youth block which typically stays home like Obama did in ‘08?
Can you help me get my mind right for election night? We know it will be a very close election coming down to a small number of votes in a few states. In 2020 there was a lot of mail in voting, and it took longer for us to get results and enough data to project Biden the winner. Do you think this will be like 2020 when it took days for us to get an official winner? Or might it be something more like 2004 (can’t believe that was 20 years ago now) when John Kerry was conceding the next day? I know Trump won’t ever concede but how soon might there be an officially projected winner this year?
Hi Chris! Thanks for all you do! I always look forward to your emails! I have a question - is it possible Nebraska switches to winner take all before the election? I’ve read that Trump is pushing them to do this. That could be really devastating to Harris since she may need that one electoral vote. And I’ve also read that Maine could do the same thing (which would benefit Harris) but it’s too late for them per state law. If Nebraska politicians waited until it was too late for Maine to change their law, that would be so incredibly cynical. What have you been hearing?
Mark Robinson? News broke Thursday of more of his wild ass nonsense. Polls show him trailing by around 8-9 points. Is he now a threat to Trump winning the state, or at what level would he prevent Trump's winning NC?
Other than Sen Lloyd Bentsen’s legendary retort to Dan Quayle (“Senator, I served with Jack Kennedy. I knew Jack Kennedy. Jack Kennedy was a friend of mine. Senator, you're no Jack Kennedy.”), have VP debates ever been consequential or memorable ?
Hi Chris! I know that you do not believe that Trump is suffering any cognitive decline, which I wholeheartedly disagree with you on (not saying it's dementia, but he's definitely less able to put 3 or 4 coherent sentences together), but what do you think of the reel that CNN put together for Abby Philips show? Same subject, i.e. immigration, and 2016 Trump presents a reasonably coherent argument, but 2024 Trump is all over the map, including the now infamous "They're eating the pets!" disaster. Here's the link, though I'm sure you've seen it.... https://x.com/Acyn/status/1834422988776899018
Trump will not last forever - age/mental health, being associated with Republican losses, even a Republican with principles ... could result in him becoming unimportant. IF (When) that happens, who could step into the void? Those who have served him?
And more importantly, the Republican party will continue to evolve along the blue-collar trajectory since the Civil Rights Act (CRA) that started with Nixon's Sourhern Strategy. The recent non-endorsement by the Teamsters is an example of gradual post-CRA party realignment.
What do you see un the 'new' R (& D) party? Who could emerge as the post-Trump leader?
Chris, what do you see as the impact of the recent Fed decision to cut the prime lending rate a half a point on the election? Do you think it will sway those voters that have had a negative perception of the economy that the economy is doing better?
Is Trump pushing away a big part of his base? I think his supporters fall into two basic groups. About two thirds of his base (35% of all voters) is die hard MAGA and will go with him to the end. The rest are "I don't really like him but I won't vote for a Democrat" voters. But with his increasingly wild statements and position inconsistencies, is this group's support beginning to wobble?
In US English, we have a word for zero--it's "zero". Why, then, when speaking about soccer, we all of a sudden feel compelled to say "nil"? I refuse to do it. Who's with me!
Hi Chris. I start my day with your Morning video -- thanks for all you do. My question has to do with the reliability of polls. Do they still rely primarily on the telephone for gathering information? If so, how can this produce reliable data since many people do not accept phone calls from unknown phone numbers?
Do you expect an October surprise? If so, any thoughts on what/when?
What is your all-time favorite Trump quote? this one may be my favorite: "So we have that so-called area, they consider it like a sacred area. And I will say this, I don't think I am a believer, but I have interviewed pilots that look, I like Tom Cruise, but better than Tom Cruise".
I'm not sure about a quote, but all-time favorite moment has to be the Four Seasons Landscaping press conference. It's just the chef's kiss moment of his administration.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Four_Seasons_Total_Landscaping_press_conference. ??
Full disclosure: I am a big "FV & four seasons" fan.
I like when he said KH hates Jewish people obviously forgetting she married a Jewish man….Cant make it up..
I have a set of related questions. I read an article in "The Hill" which said that 46% of Republicans would not accept the results of the presidential election if Trump lost, and 14% said they would take action in that case. Furthermore, Trump continues to add fuel to the fire of election denialism. So, if Harris/Walz win the electoral vote count, we are back to 2020. What possible “action” would/could the election deniers take, and at what point in the process from Election Day to Inauguration Day? Nationally, are they once again planning on disrupting the electoral vote counting and certification on Jan 6th? Would they somehow try to disrupt the inauguration on Jan 20th? Or would "action" take place at the State level, particularly in swing states that didn’t go for Trump (MN, WS, PA, VA, GA, NV, & AZ)? Is there any means to interfere with transmission of the electoral counts from the state to the Washington D.C., or more fake elector schemes before the formal voting by the electors? If violent protest is their only option, would that occur in Washington, in the contested swing states, or both? Given all the nonsensical rhetoric spewed out by Trump, I will guess that law enforcement will be on a very high alert for such activities from Nov 5th to Jan 20th. And given the arrests and convictions from Jan 6th, 2021, how many people are willing to put themselves out there with violent attacks to protest the 2024 results?
Trump in his prior elections has benefited from voters who normally don’t vote.
With the sharp rise in voter registration after the debate and Swift endorsement, do you think there’s a chance Harris can make inroads into that youth block which typically stays home like Obama did in ‘08?
Can you help me get my mind right for election night? We know it will be a very close election coming down to a small number of votes in a few states. In 2020 there was a lot of mail in voting, and it took longer for us to get results and enough data to project Biden the winner. Do you think this will be like 2020 when it took days for us to get an official winner? Or might it be something more like 2004 (can’t believe that was 20 years ago now) when John Kerry was conceding the next day? I know Trump won’t ever concede but how soon might there be an officially projected winner this year?
Hi Chris! Thanks for all you do! I always look forward to your emails! I have a question - is it possible Nebraska switches to winner take all before the election? I’ve read that Trump is pushing them to do this. That could be really devastating to Harris since she may need that one electoral vote. And I’ve also read that Maine could do the same thing (which would benefit Harris) but it’s too late for them per state law. If Nebraska politicians waited until it was too late for Maine to change their law, that would be so incredibly cynical. What have you been hearing?
Mark Robinson? News broke Thursday of more of his wild ass nonsense. Polls show him trailing by around 8-9 points. Is he now a threat to Trump winning the state, or at what level would he prevent Trump's winning NC?
Other than Sen Lloyd Bentsen’s legendary retort to Dan Quayle (“Senator, I served with Jack Kennedy. I knew Jack Kennedy. Jack Kennedy was a friend of mine. Senator, you're no Jack Kennedy.”), have VP debates ever been consequential or memorable ?
So what is the story with the old typewriter? Perfect prop, and btw what is the difference winning by a landslide and winning with a mandate?
Hi Chris! I know that you do not believe that Trump is suffering any cognitive decline, which I wholeheartedly disagree with you on (not saying it's dementia, but he's definitely less able to put 3 or 4 coherent sentences together), but what do you think of the reel that CNN put together for Abby Philips show? Same subject, i.e. immigration, and 2016 Trump presents a reasonably coherent argument, but 2024 Trump is all over the map, including the now infamous "They're eating the pets!" disaster. Here's the link, though I'm sure you've seen it.... https://x.com/Acyn/status/1834422988776899018
Why do you think major news outlets are not focusing on the age and lack of mental acuity of Donald Trump like they did with Joe Biden?
Trump will not last forever - age/mental health, being associated with Republican losses, even a Republican with principles ... could result in him becoming unimportant. IF (When) that happens, who could step into the void? Those who have served him?
And more importantly, the Republican party will continue to evolve along the blue-collar trajectory since the Civil Rights Act (CRA) that started with Nixon's Sourhern Strategy. The recent non-endorsement by the Teamsters is an example of gradual post-CRA party realignment.
What do you see un the 'new' R (& D) party? Who could emerge as the post-Trump leader?
Chris, what do you see as the impact of the recent Fed decision to cut the prime lending rate a half a point on the election? Do you think it will sway those voters that have had a negative perception of the economy that the economy is doing better?
Is Trump pushing away a big part of his base? I think his supporters fall into two basic groups. About two thirds of his base (35% of all voters) is die hard MAGA and will go with him to the end. The rest are "I don't really like him but I won't vote for a Democrat" voters. But with his increasingly wild statements and position inconsistencies, is this group's support beginning to wobble?
In US English, we have a word for zero--it's "zero". Why, then, when speaking about soccer, we all of a sudden feel compelled to say "nil"? I refuse to do it. Who's with me!