3 Comments

Really like you coming out early on senate predictions and this analysis!

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Super worried about Synema and Gallego. I think Synema's really done a disservice to Arizona democrats, and I really like Gallego for a number of reasons (from the political to the personal). That said, I think with both of the ring they all but hand the seat to someone like Kari Lake, who is just a nightmare.

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I think that your assessments are bang-on. 2024 could be a brutal year for the Democrats in the Senate, but much will depend on what is going on nationally at that point (eg., how the economy is doing, is Trump solidly entrenched as the Republican frontrunner for the Republican Presidential nomination, etc.).

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