Oy. Just goes to show you how stupid we Americans are! When I was in Florence about 10 years ago, we visited the David, and there were Italian schoolchildren there on field trips! Americans are so frightened of the human body it's astonishing. At the very least, Floridians are...
Sorry, Chris, I obviously follow you as I value your opinion, and I would NEVER write off Trump (did that in 2016, but never again), but I am SO tired of all the guessing and the proven inaccurate polling over the last decade (remember when we all used to think that Nate Silver was gold, until he wasn’t?). I think it’s FAR too early for most of the US to be serious about politics and have formed opinions solid enough to vote on. Just like in 2022, if the Dems play their messaging right (and that’s ALWAYS a question...), they will drive Dems AND independents out to vote and with excellent groundwork, we can make it happen. With the loss of Roe v Wade and the states trying to further that, book banning, and other fascist leanings on the Right, I think there is every possibility, even likelihood, that it could be a landslide up and down ballot. I don’t take that for granted, though, as it will mean planning and skillful execution. Call me an “optimistic realist”, but I think “the Force is strong”...
Moore v Harper SCOTUS has already decided in favor of the Independent Legislature, otherwise they would not have taken the case, and would have used the shadow docket. The number of electoral votes in states with Democratic legislatures are roughly 188, that means the election depends on the rust belt, swing states created by NAFTA and GAAT (thanks to Bill Clinton). (Paradoxically, the Greenies have been the allies of the Republicans). The legislatures in the Swing States are controlled by Republicans. With SCOTUS ruling in favor of the independent legislature, a head of cabbage could be elected president if it were a Republican. Just like in 2020, 81 million people turned out to turn Trump out of office, not to vote for Biden.
If Trump is the Republican candidate, and SCOTUS does not rule on the independent legislature, then once again a head of cabbage could beat Trump as it did in 2020.
There will be two opportunities for the far right extremist Supreme Court to tear apart American norms (i.e., this term, and 2023-2024). Considering what overturning Roe did to energize ordinarily lethargic citizens to get off their behinds and vote, that can't be discounted.
.I'm hoping that the only people who would vote for Donald Trump at this point are the people living in the Fox News bubble that don't ever come up for air.
Oy. Just goes to show you how stupid we Americans are! When I was in Florence about 10 years ago, we visited the David, and there were Italian schoolchildren there on field trips! Americans are so frightened of the human body it's astonishing. At the very least, Floridians are...
I am skeptical about the current polls 18 months ahead of the reality of Nov 2024.
I would like to see Independent voters responses cut out from Reps and Dems to determine the potential reality.
Sorry, Chris, I obviously follow you as I value your opinion, and I would NEVER write off Trump (did that in 2016, but never again), but I am SO tired of all the guessing and the proven inaccurate polling over the last decade (remember when we all used to think that Nate Silver was gold, until he wasn’t?). I think it’s FAR too early for most of the US to be serious about politics and have formed opinions solid enough to vote on. Just like in 2022, if the Dems play their messaging right (and that’s ALWAYS a question...), they will drive Dems AND independents out to vote and with excellent groundwork, we can make it happen. With the loss of Roe v Wade and the states trying to further that, book banning, and other fascist leanings on the Right, I think there is every possibility, even likelihood, that it could be a landslide up and down ballot. I don’t take that for granted, though, as it will mean planning and skillful execution. Call me an “optimistic realist”, but I think “the Force is strong”...
It nauseates, infuriates and frightens me to write this, but not only do I think that he could win, I think that he WILL win.
Moore v Harper SCOTUS has already decided in favor of the Independent Legislature, otherwise they would not have taken the case, and would have used the shadow docket. The number of electoral votes in states with Democratic legislatures are roughly 188, that means the election depends on the rust belt, swing states created by NAFTA and GAAT (thanks to Bill Clinton). (Paradoxically, the Greenies have been the allies of the Republicans). The legislatures in the Swing States are controlled by Republicans. With SCOTUS ruling in favor of the independent legislature, a head of cabbage could be elected president if it were a Republican. Just like in 2020, 81 million people turned out to turn Trump out of office, not to vote for Biden.
If Trump is the Republican candidate, and SCOTUS does not rule on the independent legislature, then once again a head of cabbage could beat Trump as it did in 2020.
There will be two opportunities for the far right extremist Supreme Court to tear apart American norms (i.e., this term, and 2023-2024). Considering what overturning Roe did to energize ordinarily lethargic citizens to get off their behinds and vote, that can't be discounted.
.I'm hoping that the only people who would vote for Donald Trump at this point are the people living in the Fox News bubble that don't ever come up for air.