Oy. Just goes to show you how stupid we Americans are! When I was in Florence about 10 years ago, we visited the David, and there were Italian schoolchildren there on field trips! Americans are so frightened of the human body it's astonishing. At the very least, Floridians are...
Sorry, Chris, I obviously follow you as I value your opinion, and I would NEVER write off Trump (did that in 2016, but never again), but I am SO tired of all the guessing and the proven inaccurate polling over the last decade (remember when we all used to think that Nate Silver was gold, until he wasn’t?). I think it’s FAR too early for most of the US to be serious about politics and have formed opinions solid enough to vote on. Just like in 2022, if the Dems play their messaging right (and that’s ALWAYS a question...), they will drive Dems AND independents out to vote and with excellent groundwork, we can make it happen. With the loss of Roe v Wade and the states trying to further that, book banning, and other fascist leanings on the Right, I think there is every possibility, even likelihood, that it could be a landslide up and down ballot. I don’t take that for granted, though, as it will mean planning and skillful execution. Call me an “optimistic realist”, but I think “the Force is strong”...
I could not agree more. I don't watch his speeches, wife does though, but I can know he is speaking because of the emotionless, monotone drone I hear from the TV set. He is way past his prime,I don't think a person over 60 should be president, (I am 83), .
But the DNC is it's own worst enemy, the proved that when all they could find to run for governor of Virginia was a tired old race horse (Terry McAuliffe). The DNC does not groom leaders, it backs establishment (banker approved) candidates, that have proven their reliability by feeding at the trough for decades.
The DNC had no stable or paddock of race horses, just a bunch of tired old nags and geldings who have paid their dues, accumulated what the DNC think are necessary credentials.
They had nobody in 2020, so they pulled Biden out of the paddock and put him in the starting gate. However anyone could have beat Trump, because America was sick and tired of the liar, the pervert, the grifter, the thief and yes the traitor, and a head of cabbage could have beat him (and it figuratively did).
Kamala Harris (bless her soul)is an empty suit,which as inspirational as a week old tub of wheat grass. There is no one else in the stable. The only DNC approved candidates are compromised by the donations they have received from PhRMA, AHIP, Chamber ofCommerce, financial instiutions and AIPAC.
Discounting the fact that they slop at the trough of Wall Street and othe rPAC's, they are tired,old race horses, who when you scratch the surface are barely distinguishable from the pre Trump Republicans. To paraphrase Harry Truman, given a choice between a real Republican and a Democrat which votes like a Republican, the voter will choose the real thing every time.
A lesson not learned is that Americans are hungry for a populist, someone who has their interests in mind, not that of the money powerrs,the oligarchs, the plutocrats.
And so a phony populist steps up and wins in 2016, and he has still captured the heart of
right wing populists.
Populism comes in at least two favors, The right wing populisim of fascism (Mussolini, Franco, Hitler, Orban, Putin, Erdogan). We've seen it before in William Jennings Bryan and Huey Long. Bigoted populism.
And the left wing populism as evidenced by the likes of Bernie Sanders.
The powers that be hate and fear left wing populism, because it threatens their power, and their means to get and hold power...money. Right wing populism does not; Right wing populism uses fear, anger, angst to agitate the amygdala. And politics is a contest between the amygdala and the pre frontal cortex, and the amygdala wins almost every time.
The Republican party intuits that fact, the Democratic party just can';t grab that fact
And here we stand on the precipice, looking at a neo fascist future.
Edit added. The Democratic party is stuck with Biden because of their culture of "earning your place at the starting gate". They haven't groomed younger replacement, agains because of their culture (at least since Clinton) of caddying for Wall Street,, (financial institutions, Chamber of Commerce, PhRMA, AHIP, the MIC) The Democratic party has always been, since Truman, Republican Light, until the Republican party started to go off the rails with Reagan, but still most Democratic cars stayed connected, it was only with Trump, that there was an illusion of a break, an illusion because the Democratic party is a slave of, and many a virtual employee of, their donors. They ignored the fact that Bernie Sanders raised owesome amounts of donor money from we the people, the little guy, they are committed to the oligarchy.
I am not a Democrat, a libertarian or any ideology. i am a progressive and the only reason I even vote is to keep the vampires out of the house
Per Hollywood lore, a vampire cannot enter your house unless invited in, and the vote is the invitation. In 2016 the people gave a vampire, who sucked the lifeblood out of it's host, permission to enter the (White) House.
Moore v Harper SCOTUS has already decided in favor of the Independent Legislature, otherwise they would not have taken the case, and would have used the shadow docket. The number of electoral votes in states with Democratic legislatures are roughly 188, that means the election depends on the rust belt, swing states created by NAFTA and GAAT (thanks to Bill Clinton). (Paradoxically, the Greenies have been the allies of the Republicans). The legislatures in the Swing States are controlled by Republicans. With SCOTUS ruling in favor of the independent legislature, a head of cabbage could be elected president if it were a Republican. Just like in 2020, 81 million people turned out to turn Trump out of office, not to vote for Biden.
If Trump is the Republican candidate, and SCOTUS does not rule on the independent legislature, then once again a head of cabbage could beat Trump as it did in 2020.
There will be two opportunities for the far right extremist Supreme Court to tear apart American norms (i.e., this term, and 2023-2024). Considering what overturning Roe did to energize ordinarily lethargic citizens to get off their behinds and vote, that can't be discounted.
.I'm hoping that the only people who would vote for Donald Trump at this point are the people living in the Fox News bubble that don't ever come up for air.
Oy. Just goes to show you how stupid we Americans are! When I was in Florence about 10 years ago, we visited the David, and there were Italian schoolchildren there on field trips! Americans are so frightened of the human body it's astonishing. At the very least, Floridians are...
I am skeptical about the current polls 18 months ahead of the reality of Nov 2024.
I would like to see Independent voters responses cut out from Reps and Dems to determine the potential reality.
Sorry, Chris, I obviously follow you as I value your opinion, and I would NEVER write off Trump (did that in 2016, but never again), but I am SO tired of all the guessing and the proven inaccurate polling over the last decade (remember when we all used to think that Nate Silver was gold, until he wasn’t?). I think it’s FAR too early for most of the US to be serious about politics and have formed opinions solid enough to vote on. Just like in 2022, if the Dems play their messaging right (and that’s ALWAYS a question...), they will drive Dems AND independents out to vote and with excellent groundwork, we can make it happen. With the loss of Roe v Wade and the states trying to further that, book banning, and other fascist leanings on the Right, I think there is every possibility, even likelihood, that it could be a landslide up and down ballot. I don’t take that for granted, though, as it will mean planning and skillful execution. Call me an “optimistic realist”, but I think “the Force is strong”...
This just in from MAGA Ameica:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/tallahassee-principal-ousted-after-parents-rage-over-michelangelos-pornographic-statue?ref=home&fbclid=IwAR2K46Xoz8SW-jmza2MOwnwsI5q5Npl84m4Kz6PATV8OyLUp-ltmJct-FRg
It nauseates, infuriates and frightens me to write this, but not only do I think that he could win, I think that he WILL win.
I really like biden, but I think the dems need another candidate this time around.
I could not agree more. I don't watch his speeches, wife does though, but I can know he is speaking because of the emotionless, monotone drone I hear from the TV set. He is way past his prime,I don't think a person over 60 should be president, (I am 83), .
But the DNC is it's own worst enemy, the proved that when all they could find to run for governor of Virginia was a tired old race horse (Terry McAuliffe). The DNC does not groom leaders, it backs establishment (banker approved) candidates, that have proven their reliability by feeding at the trough for decades.
The DNC had no stable or paddock of race horses, just a bunch of tired old nags and geldings who have paid their dues, accumulated what the DNC think are necessary credentials.
They had nobody in 2020, so they pulled Biden out of the paddock and put him in the starting gate. However anyone could have beat Trump, because America was sick and tired of the liar, the pervert, the grifter, the thief and yes the traitor, and a head of cabbage could have beat him (and it figuratively did).
Kamala Harris (bless her soul)is an empty suit,which as inspirational as a week old tub of wheat grass. There is no one else in the stable. The only DNC approved candidates are compromised by the donations they have received from PhRMA, AHIP, Chamber ofCommerce, financial instiutions and AIPAC.
Discounting the fact that they slop at the trough of Wall Street and othe rPAC's, they are tired,old race horses, who when you scratch the surface are barely distinguishable from the pre Trump Republicans. To paraphrase Harry Truman, given a choice between a real Republican and a Democrat which votes like a Republican, the voter will choose the real thing every time.
A lesson not learned is that Americans are hungry for a populist, someone who has their interests in mind, not that of the money powerrs,the oligarchs, the plutocrats.
And so a phony populist steps up and wins in 2016, and he has still captured the heart of
right wing populists.
Populism comes in at least two favors, The right wing populisim of fascism (Mussolini, Franco, Hitler, Orban, Putin, Erdogan). We've seen it before in William Jennings Bryan and Huey Long. Bigoted populism.
And the left wing populism as evidenced by the likes of Bernie Sanders.
The powers that be hate and fear left wing populism, because it threatens their power, and their means to get and hold power...money. Right wing populism does not; Right wing populism uses fear, anger, angst to agitate the amygdala. And politics is a contest between the amygdala and the pre frontal cortex, and the amygdala wins almost every time.
The Republican party intuits that fact, the Democratic party just can';t grab that fact
And here we stand on the precipice, looking at a neo fascist future.
Edit added. The Democratic party is stuck with Biden because of their culture of "earning your place at the starting gate". They haven't groomed younger replacement, agains because of their culture (at least since Clinton) of caddying for Wall Street,, (financial institutions, Chamber of Commerce, PhRMA, AHIP, the MIC) The Democratic party has always been, since Truman, Republican Light, until the Republican party started to go off the rails with Reagan, but still most Democratic cars stayed connected, it was only with Trump, that there was an illusion of a break, an illusion because the Democratic party is a slave of, and many a virtual employee of, their donors. They ignored the fact that Bernie Sanders raised owesome amounts of donor money from we the people, the little guy, they are committed to the oligarchy.
I am not a Democrat, a libertarian or any ideology. i am a progressive and the only reason I even vote is to keep the vampires out of the house
Per Hollywood lore, a vampire cannot enter your house unless invited in, and the vote is the invitation. In 2016 the people gave a vampire, who sucked the lifeblood out of it's host, permission to enter the (White) House.
Same and same.
Sad but true.
Moore v Harper SCOTUS has already decided in favor of the Independent Legislature, otherwise they would not have taken the case, and would have used the shadow docket. The number of electoral votes in states with Democratic legislatures are roughly 188, that means the election depends on the rust belt, swing states created by NAFTA and GAAT (thanks to Bill Clinton). (Paradoxically, the Greenies have been the allies of the Republicans). The legislatures in the Swing States are controlled by Republicans. With SCOTUS ruling in favor of the independent legislature, a head of cabbage could be elected president if it were a Republican. Just like in 2020, 81 million people turned out to turn Trump out of office, not to vote for Biden.
If Trump is the Republican candidate, and SCOTUS does not rule on the independent legislature, then once again a head of cabbage could beat Trump as it did in 2020.
There will be two opportunities for the far right extremist Supreme Court to tear apart American norms (i.e., this term, and 2023-2024). Considering what overturning Roe did to energize ordinarily lethargic citizens to get off their behinds and vote, that can't be discounted.
I
.I'm hoping that the only people who would vote for Donald Trump at this point are the people living in the Fox News bubble that don't ever come up for air.
Ben, I'm afraid that number might be scary enough to get Dapper Donny re-elected...
https://www.forbes.com/sites/markjoyella/2023/01/31/fox-news-beats-cnn-and-msnbc-combined-in-prime-time-ratings/
No. That's just Cable viewers. 1.21 people watch Fox. 80 million people voted for Biden. 74 million voted for Trump.