The last New York Times/Siena College national poll is out this morning. And it shows a tie: Donald Trump 48%, Kamala Harris 48%.
You can check out ALL the numbers from the poll here but I pulled out a few that jumped out to me.
61% of voters believe the country is on the wrong track — including 90% of Trump supporters. (A majority of Harris supporters think things are headed in the right direction.) It’s a challenge for the incumbent party — and the sitting vice president — to win a race when almost two-thirds of the public think things are off track.
Among 18-29 year olds, Harris is ahead by 12 points — 55%-43%. That’s down from a more than 20-point margin among that age cohort in the last NYT/Siena national poll. She needs to do better with those young voters in order to win. In 2020, Biden won them by 24 points.
Just 40% approve of Joe Biden while 56% disapprove. The gap between those who “strongly” approve (19%) and those who “strongly” disapprove (46%) is massive. This is yet more evidence that Harris has to get further away from Biden. Much further.
The three most important issues for voters are not super surprising: The economy (27%), immigration (15%) and abortion (15%). As to which candidate voters trust on each of those issues, Trump has a 6-point edge on the economy (down from double digits), Harris has a 15-point lead on abortion and Trump holds an 11-point lead on immigration.
The generic House ballot (“would you vote for the Democratic candidate or the Republican candidate for Congress”) is tied at 48%. That’s good news for Republicans who traditionally trail on that measure even in good years for the party.
That’s what stood out to me. What caught your eye? The comments section is open!
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