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Chris I will not just dismiss Merrill's scientific analysis of these polls as wrong just because it's NYT. Merrill's statistical/ scientific analysis makes more sense to me than the NYT analysis of their polls. I guess everyone can pick the analysis he or she wants to believe

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Thanks Dr Abubakar

I think mine is really a simple point. Political poll results are really indicative of the attitudes and opinions of the participant group.

How broadly any given poll results can be applied to the broad voter population, depends on how closely it matches the broad population. When we see and read Nate Cohn's polls, we must take him at his word that the Times poll intentionally leans GOP.

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The basic principle of Statistics (Statistics 101) is that for you to be able to generalize a study (poll) to a population , your sample demogrsphics must be representative of the population you're trying to apply your study(poll) to. This NYT poll and many other polls do not represent the general electorate. These pundits just like using the polls to drive their parochial narratives.

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