I'm not sure where your 65/35 urban/rural split came from for PA.
Several sites I checked showed results in the 22-25% rural residents for PA. If 35% of respondents included in the Times data are from rural areas, then the Times survey data is over counting rural voters by ~17%. Since rural voters are more Republican these days, this is one key factor in why the Times' polls Aren't biased
I'm not sure where your 65/35 urban/rural split came from for PA.
Several sites I checked showed results in the 22-25% rural residents for PA. If 35% of respondents included in the Times data are from rural areas, then the Times survey data is over counting rural voters by ~17%. Since rural voters are more Republican these days, this is one key factor in why the Times' polls Aren't biased
My numbers were from the poll. I was not describing the actual demographics. So the PA participants in the poll broke 65/35. As I’ve said before the poll participants will almost never match the actual geographic distribution. That’s why they use weights to adjust the numbers. You again are misinterpreting the results. You are correct that the rural population was over represented but you are not correct in saying the results are biased because the weights will offset the over representation. It’s basic polling statistical methodology.
I'm not sure where your 65/35 urban/rural split came from for PA.
Several sites I checked showed results in the 22-25% rural residents for PA. If 35% of respondents included in the Times data are from rural areas, then the Times survey data is over counting rural voters by ~17%. Since rural voters are more Republican these days, this is one key factor in why the Times' polls Aren't biased
My numbers were from the poll. I was not describing the actual demographics. So the PA participants in the poll broke 65/35. As I’ve said before the poll participants will almost never match the actual geographic distribution. That’s why they use weights to adjust the numbers. You again are misinterpreting the results. You are correct that the rural population was over represented but you are not correct in saying the results are biased because the weights will offset the over representation. It’s basic polling statistical methodology.
I meant why Times' polls are GOP biased.