On Thursday morning, the Cook Political Report, one of the leading political handicapping sites in the country, made some BIG news: They moved Arizona, Nevada and Georgia from “lean Republican” to “tossup.”
For the first time in a long time, Democrats are united and energized, while Republicans are on their heels. Unforced errors from both [Donald] Trump and his vice presidential nominee J.D. Vance have shifted the media spotlight from Biden’s age to Trump’s liabilities.
In other words, the presidential contest has moved from one that was Trump’s to lose to a much more competitive contest.
Here’s what the map currently looks like — with 6 “toss up” states:
Yes, there is still a slight Republican edge. But we are now in FAR more competitive territory — with Harris having more plausible paths to 270 electoral votes — than a month ago when the bottom was absolutely dropping out for Democrats nationally.
In many ways, this is a reset to where the map stood before Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance on June 27. Six swing states. Places like Minnesota, Virginia and New Mexico looking safer for Democrats. North Carolina still tilting Republican.
But make no mistake: This is a map Democrats can win with. Which is a major change from where the party stood earlier this summer.
I break down the new map in today’s edition of The Morning.
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